Книга Законы эпидемий. Как развиваются и почему прекращаются эпидемии болезней, финансовые кризисы, вспышки насилия и модные тренды - Адам Кучарски
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26
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Простая модель восприимчивых и зараженных Росса может быть записана следующим образом: dS/dt = —bSI, dI/dt = bSI, где b – скорость заражения. Максимальный прирост новых случаев заражения приходится на момент самого быстрого увеличения dI/dt, то есть когда вторая производная dI/dt равна нулю. Используя правило произведения, получаем: I = (3 – √3)/6 = 0,21.
62
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