Книга Гибель империи. Уроки для современной России - Егор Тимурович Гайдар
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179
Pritchett L. Patterns of Economic Growth: Hills, Plateaus, Mountains, and Plains. Policy Research Working Paper Series № 1947. 1998; Mabro R. OPEC Behavior 1960–1998: A Review of the Literature // Journal of Energy Literature. 1998. June. Vol. 4 (1). P. 3–27.
180
Brunner A. D. El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices: Warm Water or Hot Air? IMF Working Paper, 2000. P. 3.
181
Hamilton J. D. What Is an Oil Shock? NBER Working Paper № 7755. 2000.
182
Falcoff М. Modern Chile 19/0-1989: Л Critical History. New Brunswick L.: Transaction Publishers, 1989.
183
Skeet I. OPEC: Twenty-Five Years of Prices and Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988. P 157,158.
184
Kanovsky E. Economic Implications for the Region and World Oil Market // Karsh E. (ed.). The Iran-Iraq War: Impact and Implications. L.: MacMillan Press, 1989. P. 241.
185
Jadresic Е., Zahler R. Chile's Rapid Growth in the 1990s: Good Policies, Good Luck or Political Change? IMF Working Paper WP 00/153. 2000.
186
Rodrik D. Why Do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governmentsf // The Journal of Political Economy. 1998. Vol. 106 (5). P. 997–1032; Daniel J. A. Hedging Government Oil Price Risk. IMF Working Paper, 2001; Washington Post. March 27. 1991.
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Amuzegar J. Managing the Oil Wealth: OPEC's Windfalls and Pitfalls. L.; N. Y: I. B. Tauris Publishers, 2001. P. 12.
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De Santis R. A. Crude Oil Price Fluctuations and Saudi Arabian Behaviour. Kiel Working Paper № 1014. October 2000. P. 6.
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Yergin D. The Prize. The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power. N. Y: Simon and Schuster, 1992.
190
Amuzegar J. Managing the Oil Wealth: OPEC's Windfalls and Pitfalls. L.; N. Y: I. B. Tauris Publishers, 2001. P. 24.
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Amuzegar J. Managing the Oil Wealth: OPEC's Windfalls and Pitfalls. L.; N. Y: I. B. Tauris Publishers, 2001. P. 25.
192
Skeet I. OPEC: Twenty-Five Years of Prices and Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988; Андреасян P. H. Нефть и арабские страны в 1973–1983 гг. Экономический и социальный анализ. М.: Наука, 1990. С. 80.
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Penrose Е. Oil and the International Economy: Multinational Aspects, 1900-1973 // Ferrier R.W., Fursenko A. (eds.). Oil in the World Economy. L.; N. Y: Routledge, 1989. P. 14.
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Amuzegar J. Managing the Oil Wealth: OPEC's Windfalls and Pitfalls. P. 28.
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С 1869 г. средние многолетние цены на нефть в ценах 2004 г. составляли 18 долл. 59 центов (в ценах 2000 г. – 18,43 долл.) за баррель. Цена на нефть, равнявшаяся в 1958 г. 16 долл. за баррель (в долларах 2004 г.), составляла к 1970 г. менее 13 долл. (в ценах 2000 г. – 15 и 12 долл. соответственно) за баррель. (См.: Oil Price History and Analysis. 2004. http://www.wtrg.com/prices. htm)
196
Yergin D. The Prize. The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power. P. 567.
197
Darmstadter J., Landsberg H. H. The Economic Background // Vernon R. (ed.). The Oil Crisis. New York: Norton, 1976. P. 31.
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Skeet I. OPEC: Twenty-Five Years of Prices and Politics. P. 86.
199
Rybczynski Т. M., Ray G. F. Historical Background to the World Energy Crisis // Rybczynski T. M. (ed.). The Economics of the Oil Crisis. L.: The Macmillan Press / Trade Policy Research Centre, 1976. P. 2.
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Barsky R. B., Lutz K. Do We Really Know that Oil Causedthe Great Stagflation? A Monetary Alternative. NBER Working Paper № 8389. July 2001. P 5,14.
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Sobel L. A. (ed.). Energy Crisis. Vol. 1. 1969–1973. N. Y: Facts on File, Inc., 1974. P. 199–206.
202
Kanovsky E. Economic Implications for the Region and World Oil Market // Karsh E. (ed.). The Iran-Iraq War: Impact and Implications. L.: MacMillan Press, 1989. P. 231.
203
Terry Lynn Karl. The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-States. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1997.
204
Андреасян P. H. Нефть и арабские страны в 19/3-1983 гг. Экономический и социальный анализ. М.: Наука, 1990. С. 124–130.
205
Dowling Е.Т., Hilton F. G. Oil in the 1980s: An OECD Perspective // Shojai S., Katz B. S. (eds.). The Oil Market in the 1980s: A Decade of Decline. N. Y: Praeger, 1992. P. 74.
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Yousaf Hasan J. Mohammad. OPEC Strategies for the Monopoly Oil Profits // Shojai S., Katz B. S. (eds.). The Oil Market in the 1980s: A Decade of Decline. P. 37; Wickham P. Volatility of Oil Prices. IMF Working Paper, 1996.
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Se-Hark Park. Falling Oil Prices and Exchange Rate Fluctuation // Shojai S., Katz B. S. (eds.). The Oil Market in the 1980s: A Decade of Decline. P. 6.
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Skeet I. OPEC: Twenty-Five Years of Prices and Politics. P. 207, 208.
209
Shojai S., Katz В. S. (eds.). The Oil Market in the 1980s: A Decade of Decline. N. Y: Praeger, 1992. P. XIII.
210
Terry Lynn Karl. The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-States. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1997. P. 32.
211
Amuzegar J. Managing the